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Paide Linnameeskond vs. Narva Trans Match Preview

Angelo PalmeriComment

FOCUS ON PAIDE (6/10, 25pts)

Paide's season is sailing comfortably in a safe zone where they are the only ones to belong too. Too far from the top floor (18-point gap from Sillamäe at the moment) but safely away from troubles as they take on Trans having Tammeka 8 points behind. Winning against Narva Trans would put 12 points away from the border city save and consolidate their position further. Contrary to the head-to-head statistics (see below) they are the favourites to grab their third home win of the season despite Narva comes from the surprising goalless draw against Kalju. It is a chance to give, finally, continuity to the week-on-week results as Paide have managed only once to put two wins in a row (from matchday 8 till matchday 10 they hit their seasonal record of three in a row). Considering next week they are at Infonet, it is the best chance to do that before starting from scratch.

Rooba can count on all of his squad exception made for Palatu (suspension), Ustaal and Kõll unavailable. This is the squad summoned for the home game: Niinepuu, Veis, Indermitte, Leetma, Lomp, Sinilaid, Reinsoo, Tomson, Kovtunõvits, Paur, Rõivassepp, Vassiljev, Goldberg, Uwe, Kruusalu and Kaldoja.

The set-up will be the traditional 4-2-3-1 however Rooba will have to reinvent the midfield since he's missing few central midfielders. He might decide to bring Goldberg in and place him behind Uwa giving Tomson the defensive midfielder role close to Sinilaid. Unless he will ask the veteran Leetma to be there. Certainly Indermitte will be given a start in defence and in the case Leetma will not be his partner, the alternative might be Kaldoja.

INJURIES
According to our information, no player is missing for inury.
Kaldoja and Sinilaid are one card away from suspension.

KEY-MAN: Jasper Uwa
The Nigerian striker not only is back into the XI after months, but he has started to bag goals. They are 3 already in barely 7 appearances and all scored in the last three games. If Kalju was toothless last week, he can instead provide a proper headache to the Trans back line. Trans account for the 5th worst defence of the Premium Liiga with a -26 goal difference, numbers that will make the stiker water his mouth. Can enter the scoreboard also this week.

FOCUS ON NARVA (7/10, 16pts)

No one expected the goalless draw against Kalju. Under a certain point of view, that draw was worth a win for Trans. Few months ago it would have not been a surprise (they snatched one point also from Levadia and they were almost doing the same with Flora in Tallinn). However, the climate in Narva is now completely different since few players have left and the coach Bondarenko was fired (he found a new job on one lower step of the ladder in Esiliiga at Rakvere Tarvas). Narva's numbers are appalling: 1 win in the last 7 games which counted five loss in a row. Since the third quarter of the season as started (matchday 19) they have scored zero goals in four games and conceded 16 being last week's draw the only time they sheet stayed clean.

Yagudin has to make go with a short squad which seems permanently deprived of the Ivorian Irie and Tanel Tamberg.

They could give a good battle to Paide, especially in the midfield, however, if they go one nil down, the comeback will be very hard to achieve.

INJURIES
Exception made for Irie and Tamberg, the others are available. By chance, they are the only ones who are one card away from suspension.

KEY-MAN: Andrei Ornat
The former Zenit and Dynamo Moscow youth player has had a good impact on his debut in Premium Liiga (already two games with Narva including the 6-0 demolition he took part to against Flora). If Trans were to pose any threat, then it would come from him. Otherwise the 'key-man' can only be the entire squad's attitude and approach to the game.

Paide's starting XI from their 3-0 win at Kalev, and Narva's eleven that held Kalju to a 0-0 draw (www.transfermarkt.de)

Paide's starting XI from their 3-0 win at Kalev, and Narva's eleven that held Kalju to a 0-0 draw (www.transfermarkt.de)

TACTICAL KEYS
Rooba understands that with this game they can finally dig a canyon between themselves and the relegation pool. Therfore he will demand his side to immediately put under pressure the Trans' backline with overlappings on the flanks and Tomson exploiting space created by Uwa's physical skills. It will be very hard for Trans to resist and a second miracle, even though more affordable compared to last week, seems unfeasible. If we were Yagudin, we would build a bunker in front of Tokaitsuk. The Trans' shot stopper had a great display against Kalju and can also help bouncing Paide's attacks back, but for how long since kick off?

PAIDE VS. NARVA TRANS HEAD-TO-HEAD
(last 6 Premium Liiga Matches via WhoScored.com)

Paide’s wins: 1
Draws: 1
Narva's wins: 4
Goals scored by Paide: 1
Goals scored by Narva: 7

Most prolific Premium Liiga scorer(s) in Paide's rows: Rasmus Tomson (MF) 39 goals
Most prolific Premium Liiga scorer(s) in Narva's rows: Stanislav Kitto (CB) 55 goals


ODDS (the figures may be subject to variation)

1    1.63
X   4.03
2   4.54

More odds about this game available here at

BETTING TIP (by Angelo Palmeri)

1 win and 1 draw in the last 7 matches tell enough about Narva chances for this game. At the same time, Rooba's line-up issues (who to put where) might help Narva resist until the Paide's gaffer finds the right chemistry. The Under 2,5 is very juicy (2.10) however, if you don't feel like risking, Paide's win at full time is still well paid and can work as a great filler for a bigger slip with other events.

Tip: 1 at FT
Odds: 1.63


Frischer.jpg

THE REFEREES SQUAD
(statistics courtesy of Heigo Niilop)

Juri Frischer will direct his 40th game in Premium Liiga. The 127 yellow cards shown in the previous 39 games account for 3,20 per game. Almost even tally with the red cards: 3 for a double booking and 4 straight.


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INFO ABOUT THE GAME

Kick-off is tonight, Saturday the 9th of August, at 19:00 EEST, 18:00 CEST.

2€ the usual entrance fee, discounted 50% for eligibles.

The game from Paide city stadium will be streamed by Postimees here