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FC Levadia vs. FC Infonet match preview

Chris JohnsComment

Levadia play host to FC Infonet tonight as they look to keep up the pressure on league leaders Flora. Levadia are on a 19-match unbeaten streak in the league, and have won their last seven in a row, scoring a total of 33 goals in those seven games, and conceding just one (in their 5-1 win over Johvi last time out, finally ending their clean sheet record which had stretched back to April 5th).

 

Infonet are on their own unbeaten run, having not tasted defeat in their last six matches. Their last two games have seen them score 8 goals with no reply to move them up to 4th in the table.

FOCUS ON LEVADIA (2/10, 47 pts)

Levadia’s European campaign came to an end on Tuesday, as they followed up a 7-0 drubbing at Sparta Prague with a credible 1-1 draw in Tallinn. They can now turn their focus back to league action, where they sit two points behind leaders Flora and boast an impressive run of form.

 

Their regular 4-4-2 formation was ditched for the matches against Sparta, with a flat 4-5-1 system used away from home, and the Premium Liiga favourite of 4-2-3-1 deployed at home. They should return to their more familiar setup against Infonet, as they did against Johvi last week.

 

Vladislav Ivanov and Ingemar Teever will lead the line, with Jan Penic likely to start on the left and Igor Subbotin on the right. Ilja Antonov and Andreas Raudsepp were rested for the Johvi game last week, with Omar Elhussieny and Marek Kaljumae replacing them in the centre of midfield, but the former pair returned in midweek and should start again here. Elhussieny may come in on the left if Kristal decides to rotate his squad.

 

Dragmoir Vukobratovic was suspended for the Johvi game last week, but he was also absent against Sparta in midweek. He could displace Raudsepp if he is brought back into the team.

 

Levadia may wish they had an easier match to follow their European escapades in order to shuffle their squad, but Infonet will not be bowled over easily and the hosts must field a strong side.

 

Ivanov and Artjom Artjunin are one booking away from suspension.


INJURIES

No new injuries for Levadia


KEY-MAN: Igor Subbotin

The right-winger has been in the goals this season, so much so that he was deployed as lone striker in the away leg against Sparta Prague. His overall form has been impressive too, so he will form a big part of Levadia’s attacking threat.


FOCUS ON INFONET (4/10, 38 pts)

Infonet travel across Tallinn in good form. Respective 5-0 andd 3-0 wins over Kalev and Narva have them firing once more, and a settled line-up for both of those games should be repeated here. The win against a Narva side in crisis was only secured in the closing stages, however, as substitutes Eduard Golovljov and Marten Saarlas came on to push their side over the finishing line.

 

Infonet have won their last three matches on the road, and are unbeaten in six on their travels, so will go into this match with a little more hope than most other teams might.

 

A 4-2-3-1 system will see Manucho lead the line, with Aidara playing just behind him. Oleg Valov should continue on the left, with Maksim Lipin on the right, and Konstantin Nahk and Tanel Melts in the centre of midfield.

 

Aleks Mones remains unavailable through injury, with Nahk, Vladimir Avilov and Jevgeni Harin a booking away from suspension.



INJURIES

Aleks Mones remains Infonet's only short-term injury worry

KEY-MAN: Manucho

Manucho has found his shooting boots in recent weeks, including four goals against Johvi two weeks ago. He needs to put himself about and link with the attacking midfield behind him to take advantage of Levadia’s lack of defensive cover compared to other teams in the league.

Levadia's XI offered by Kristal against Sparta and the Infonet side that clinched a 3-0 win in Narva

Levadia's XI offered by Kristal against Sparta and the Infonet side that clinched a 3-0 win in Narva

TACTICAL KEYS

 

Levadia’s two-man strikeforce is fairly unheard of in Premium Liiga circles, and this puts added pressure on opposition defences. However, their two-man central midfield is also an uncommon sight, and Infonet will look to use Nahk, Melts and Aidara to control the centre of the park when possible.

 

Both sides like to get the ball wide as an extra option, so the work rate and team work of the wingers and full backs will be under the microscope.

 

Levadia will need to somehow get around Infonet’s defensive midfield wall, but their additional support at the front should distract their opponents sufficiently to get the ball where they need it. Infonet will look to break with Aidara and Manucho providing the pace to get away behind the Levadia midfield.

 

Expect an interesting mix of approaches from both sides.

FC LEVADIA TALLINN VS. FC INFONET HEAD-TO-HEAD
(last 6 Premium Liiga Matches via 
WhoScored.com)

progresso.jpg

Levadia's wins: 6
Draws: 0
Infonet’s wins: 0
Goals scored by Levadia: 16
Goals scored by Infonet: 1

Most prolific Premium Liiga scorer(s) in Levadia's rows: Ingemar Teever (CF) 121 goals
Most prolific Premium Liiga scorer(s) in Infonet's rows: Konstantin Nahk (DM) 152 goals


ODDS (the figures may be subject to variation)

1       1.21
X      5.86
2      11.80

More odds about this game available at

BETTING TIP (by Chris Johns)

For the size of the price for an Infonet win (11.80), it might be worth even just a Euro on the off chance. The draw at 5.86 isn't a bad price considering Infonet's current form. 

It's hard to ignore Levadia's current form, though, and the relative prices for a home win and an away win are fairly indicative of what is likely (despite the size of the away win price). There isn't much value in simply backing Levadia, so over 2.5 goals at 1.36 is probably the 'best value v likelihood' bet going.

Tip: Over 2.5 goals
Odd:  1.36 (odd might be subject to variation)


THE REFEREES SQUAD
(statistics courtesy of Heigo Niilop)

The game will be directed by Eiko Saar, 190 games in Premium Liiga. He has shown 591 yellow cards (3,11 per game) and 43 reds, 20 of which for double bookings.
 

INFO ABOUT THE GAME
 

The game is played on Friday the 25th of July at the Kadriorg stadium.

Kick-off scheduled for 19:00 EEST (18:00 CEST).

Ticket is 5€, discounted ticket for youngsters 8-18 years old and retired people is 2€. If you attend the event on Facebook (at least 2 hours before kick-off) the entrance fee is 2.5 euros. Link to the event here.

The game will be streamed by ERR Sport website, link here few minutes before the game.